Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.1% vs Beagle 54.7% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 94.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 61.9%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 68.8%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Tkachuk
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tkachuk
Beagle
Last 5: Tkachuk 1-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Tkachuk
Beagle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Tkachuk
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (99)
59.0% (212)
-10.5%
Power Play
46.7% (150)
50.0% (2)
-3.3%
On even strength, Beagle has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Tkachuk is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Tkachuk shoots left. Beagle is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Beagle
Home
50.7% (136)
57.9% (171)
Away
43.4% (113)
54.0% (137)
By Period
Tkachuk
Beagle
P1
45.9%
53.3%
P2
54.4%
61.5%
P3
42.2%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.8%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
47.4%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |