Scouting Report
Nicholas Shore holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tkachuk wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 47.1% vs Shore 54.2% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 89.8%
Defensive zone
Shore 92.0%
Neutral zone
Shore 51.8%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Tkachuk
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tkachuk
Shore
Last 6: Tkachuk 3-3 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
0
Tkachuk
Shore
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
0
2
Tkachuk
Shore
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
0
1
Tkachuk
Shore
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (226)
55.6% (295)
-8.7%
Power Play
42.0% (81)
50.0% (2)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
54.2% (83)
+25.8%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Tkachuk is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Tkachuk shoots left. Shore is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Shore
Home
47.6% (168)
57.9% (221)
Away
44.4% (144)
51.6% (159)
By Period
Tkachuk
Shore
P1
49.1%
59.2%
P2
42.9%
43.5%
P3
46.5%
62.1%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.8%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
46.2%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |