Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 57.2%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 96.2%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 78.1%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 96.2%
3.8%
96.2%
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
4
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
46.8% (301)
+10.0%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
80.0% (10)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.5% (85)
+56.5%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +56.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Tkachuk shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
Home
50.4% (121)
46.0% (189)
Away
67.3% (113)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
P1
57.1%
44.7%
P2
60.0%
47.6%
P3
58.3%
48.6%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |