Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tkachuk wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 53.8% vs Sundqvist 48.0% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 56.2%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 95.9%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 75.8%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 95.9%
4.1%
95.9%
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
4
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (89)
47.2% (284)
+12.4%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
80.0% (10)
-29.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.7% (71)
+56.3%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Tkachuk is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Tkachuk shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
Home
52.9% (87)
45.4% (185)
Away
61.7% (60)
49.4% (180)
By Period
Tkachuk
Sundqvist
P1
61.0%
44.6%
P2
59.5%
48.5%
P3
52.4%
49.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |