Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 50.1%). Tkachuk wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Sharp shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 49.7% vs Sharp 50.1% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 71.5%
Defensive zone
Tkachuk 75.2%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 50.2%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Tkachuk
Sharp
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Sharp
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,510)
50.4% (1,085)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.7% (1,254)
50.6% (180)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
40.9% (44)
+4.1%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharp shoots right. Tkachuk is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Tkachuk shoots left. Sharp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Sharp
Home
50.9% (1,394)
53.2% (688)
Away
48.6% (1,390)
46.7% (623)
By Period
Tkachuk
Sharp
P1
49.3%
48.0%
P2
51.0%
49.1%
P3
48.5%
51.7%
OT
54.5%
62.2%
Final 5 min
46.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▬
57.0%
49.7%
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
50.1%