Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 54.7%). Look for Dubinsky on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Dubinsky shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.3% vs Dubinsky 54.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 86.3%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 85.4%
Neutral zone
Shaw 52.1%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Shaw
Dubinsky
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Shaw
Dubinsky
Last 9: Shaw 4-5 Dubinsky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
1
Shaw
Dubinsky
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
0
3
Shaw
Dubinsky
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Dubinsky
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Dubinsky
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (217)
54.5% (784)
-2.9%
Power Play
61.9% (105)
66.7% (21)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
54.4% (147)
-54.4%
On penalty kill, Dubinsky has a +54.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubinsky shoots left. Shaw is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Shaw shoots right. Dubinsky is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Shaw
Dubinsky
Home
55.2% (163)
55.1% (521)
Away
53.4% (163)
54.3% (431)
By Period
Shaw
Dubinsky
P1
56.7%
58.5%
P2
50.9%
49.8%
P3
55.6%
55.8%
Final 5 min
52.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.3%
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 27, 2017 | 1 | 17:01 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |