Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 52.7% vs Nelson 43.7% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 85.7%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 82.9%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 91.7%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Dubinsky
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Dubinsky
Nelson
Last 6: Dubinsky 5-1 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
1
Dubinsky
Nelson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
4
0
Dubinsky
Nelson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
1
0
Dubinsky
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (831)
42.1% (385)
+12.1%
Power Play
54.3% (138)
47.5% (40)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (138)
38.5% (26)
+5.7%
On even strength, Dubinsky has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Dubinsky is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Dubinsky shoots left. Nelson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Nelson
Home
53.1% (608)
43.8% (224)
Away
52.7% (499)
41.0% (227)
By Period
Dubinsky
Nelson
P1
53.5%
48.1%
P2
54.4%
38.4%
P3
50.5%
39.2%
OT
64.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |