Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 51.4%). Look for Helm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 51.6% vs Helm 51.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 70.8%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 61.2%
Neutral zone
Helm 51.6%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Dubinsky
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dubinsky
Helm
Last 5: Dubinsky 2-3 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helm
0
3
Dubinsky
Helm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
2
0
Dubinsky
Helm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (1,224)
51.3% (343)
+0.7%
Power Play
66.7% (63)
63.6% (44)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (201)
36.4% (33)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Dubinsky has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Dubinsky is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (902).
Dubinsky shoots left. Helm is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Helm
Home
55.1% (732)
54.7% (212)
Away
48.5% (756)
48.1% (208)
By Period
Dubinsky
Helm
P1
51.6%
49.7%
P2
51.6%
52.6%
P3
52.3%
52.5%
OT
43.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
51.7%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 08:06 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 19:08 | Offensive | Darren Helm |