Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 51.6% vs Backes 49.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Dubinsky leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 58.0%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 86.6%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 74.3%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Dubinsky
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Dubinsky
Backes
Last 10: Dubinsky 7-3 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
4
3
Dubinsky
Backes
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dubinsky
Backes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
5
1
Dubinsky
Backes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (1,224)
46.0% (87)
+6.0%
Power Play
66.7% (63)
50.0% (22)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (201)
64.3% (14)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Dubinsky is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (586).
Dubinsky shoots left. Backes is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Backes
Home
55.1% (732)
52.6% (19)
Away
48.5% (756)
48.1% (104)
By Period
Dubinsky
Backes
P1
51.6%
52.4%
P2
51.6%
55.0%
P3
52.3%
35.9%
OT
43.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
51.7%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 14:54 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |