Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dubinsky wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 56.3% vs McKegg 50.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McKegg 54.0%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 95.6%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 77.9%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Dubinsky
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Dubinsky
McKegg
Last 8: Dubinsky 5-3 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
3
Dubinsky
McKegg
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
4
0
Dubinsky
McKegg
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
1
0
Dubinsky
McKegg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (627)
51.6% (281)
+7.9%
Power Play
23.5% (17)
25.0% (4)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
0.0% (1)
+48.1%
On penalty kill, Dubinsky has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Dubinsky is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Dubinsky shoots left. McKegg is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
McKegg
Home
58.0% (383)
51.1% (133)
Away
56.2% (365)
51.0% (153)
By Period
Dubinsky
McKegg
P1
58.3%
48.9%
P2
57.8%
48.9%
P3
55.8%
54.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
57.1%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 06:09 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |