Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 50.7% vs Spezza 53.7% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 60.1%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 71.6%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 53.1%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Dubinsky
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dubinsky
Spezza
Last 6: Dubinsky 1-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Dubinsky
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
2
Dubinsky
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dubinsky
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (648)
53.0% (998)
-2.4%
Power Play
51.6% (95)
58.5% (248)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (116)
50.0% (16)
+0.9%
On power play, Spezza has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Dubinsky is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Dubinsky shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Spezza
Home
52.4% (414)
56.4% (626)
Away
49.2% (445)
51.7% (636)
By Period
Dubinsky
Spezza
P1
52.8%
56.9%
P2
53.0%
51.9%
P3
47.7%
53.9%
OT
35.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
53.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
50.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |