Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Dubinsky wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 54.3% vs Beagle 57.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 67.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 78.0%
Neutral zone
Beagle 53.1%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Dubinsky
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dubinsky
Beagle
Last 5: Dubinsky 4-1 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
2
0
Dubinsky
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dubinsky
Beagle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
1
0
Dubinsky
Beagle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (784)
60.3% (735)
-5.8%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
42.9% (7)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (147)
53.9% (256)
+0.5%
On power play, Dubinsky has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Dubinsky is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Dubinsky shoots left. Beagle is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Beagle
Home
55.1% (521)
61.9% (475)
Away
54.3% (431)
55.4% (523)
By Period
Dubinsky
Beagle
P1
58.5%
60.5%
P2
49.8%
54.4%
P3
55.8%
61.3%
OT
63.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
54.7%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2018 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |