Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 52.4% vs Carter 48.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 80.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 57.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 68.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Dubinsky
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dubinsky
Carter
Last 5: Dubinsky 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Dubinsky
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dubinsky
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (1,114)
48.5% (977)
+3.6%
Power Play
56.0% (166)
57.8% (128)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (204)
40.7% (123)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Dubinsky has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Dubinsky is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (556).
Dubinsky shoots left. Carter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (836).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Carter
Home
54.2% (779)
50.8% (597)
Away
50.8% (705)
46.8% (631)
By Period
Dubinsky
Carter
P1
52.9%
48.8%
P2
56.1%
48.0%
P3
49.0%
49.4%
OT
53.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
52.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |