Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dubinsky wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 56.3% vs Skinner 51.6% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 95.5%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 87.4%
Neutral zone
Skinner 69.3%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Dubinsky
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dubinsky
Skinner
Last 6: Dubinsky 2-4 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
4
Dubinsky
Skinner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
2
0
Dubinsky
Skinner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (627)
47.5% (200)
+12.0%
Power Play
23.5% (17)
62.0% (100)
-38.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
0.0% (1)
+48.1%
On penalty kill, Dubinsky has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Dubinsky is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Dubinsky shoots left. Skinner is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Skinner
Home
58.0% (383)
58.9% (158)
Away
56.2% (365)
44.8% (143)
By Period
Dubinsky
Skinner
P1
58.3%
49.0%
P2
57.8%
47.4%
P3
55.8%
59.6%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
57.1%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |