Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dubinsky wins 59.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 56.8% vs Pavelski 51.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Dubinsky leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 80.3%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 76.1%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 80.3%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Dubinsky
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Dubinsky
Pavelski
Last 10: Dubinsky 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
1
0
Dubinsky
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
5
4
Dubinsky
Pavelski
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
4
1
Dubinsky
Pavelski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (310)
50.4% (480)
+7.7%
Power Play
63.6% (77)
51.5% (97)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (52)
60.2% (83)
-8.3%
On power play, Dubinsky has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Dubinsky is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Dubinsky shoots left. Pavelski is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Pavelski
Home
56.9% (209)
53.1% (311)
Away
59.6% (230)
50.7% (349)
By Period
Dubinsky
Pavelski
P1
62.2%
55.4%
P2
58.9%
49.6%
P3
53.5%
51.7%
OT
77.8%
36.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
58.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |