Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 52.5%). Look for Pavelski on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 51.6% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 76.2%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 72.7%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 51.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Dubinsky
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Dubinsky
Pavelski
Last 9: Dubinsky 6-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
2
0
Dubinsky
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
2
0
Dubinsky
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
3
Dubinsky
Pavelski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (1,224)
51.3% (643)
+0.7%
Power Play
66.7% (63)
58.1% (172)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (201)
46.3% (41)
-1.0%
On power play, Dubinsky has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Dubinsky is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (586).
Dubinsky shoots left. Pavelski is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Pavelski
Home
55.1% (732)
53.8% (431)
Away
48.5% (756)
51.1% (425)
By Period
Dubinsky
Pavelski
P1
51.6%
48.4%
P2
51.6%
52.0%
P3
52.3%
55.6%
OT
43.8%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
51.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |