Brandon Dubinsky vs Joe Thornton
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Dubinsky wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 53.2% vs Thornton 54.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 66.0%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 70.4%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 52.9%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Dubinsky
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
18
(31 meetings)
13
18
Dubinsky
Thornton
Last 10: Dubinsky 4-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
7
Dubinsky
Thornton
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
5
3
Dubinsky
Thornton
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
8
Dubinsky
Thornton
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (6,275)
53.5% (6,640)
+0.1%
Power Play
58.0% (821)
57.2% (1,387)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,245)
56.7% (427)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Dubinsky is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,271).
Dubinsky shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Thornton
Home
54.8% (4,265)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
51.5% (4,082)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Dubinsky
Thornton
P1
53.8%
55.0%
P2
54.3%
53.3%
P3
51.6%
54.4%
OT
51.6%
56.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
53.2%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 11:25 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 7, 2014 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |