Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dubinsky wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 52.7% vs Vitale 59.5% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 54.6%
Defensive zone
Vitale 78.1%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 51.5%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Dubinsky
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dubinsky
Vitale
Last 6: Dubinsky 4-2 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
1
0
Dubinsky
Vitale
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dubinsky
Vitale
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
2
1
Dubinsky
Vitale
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (831)
61.7% (274)
-7.5%
Power Play
54.3% (138)
75.0% (4)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (138)
66.7% (42)
-22.5%
On penalty kill, Vitale has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Dubinsky is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Dubinsky shoots left. Vitale is 63.8% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Vitale
Home
53.1% (608)
69.7% (152)
Away
52.7% (499)
56.0% (168)
By Period
Dubinsky
Vitale
P1
53.5%
55.9%
P2
54.4%
65.2%
P3
50.5%
66.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
68.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |