Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Dubinsky wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 52.4% vs Tavares 53.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 20-9 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 72.5%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 72.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 54.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Dubinsky
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
20
(29 meetings)
9
20
Dubinsky
Tavares
Last 10: Dubinsky 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
9
Dubinsky
Tavares
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
5
Dubinsky
Tavares
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
6
Dubinsky
Tavares
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (1,114)
54.0% (1,077)
-1.9%
Power Play
56.0% (166)
54.5% (275)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (204)
50.0% (18)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Dubinsky is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Dubinsky shoots left. Tavares is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Tavares
Home
54.2% (779)
56.8% (655)
Away
50.8% (705)
51.6% (715)
By Period
Dubinsky
Tavares
P1
52.9%
54.1%
P2
56.1%
53.9%
P3
49.0%
54.3%
OT
53.6%
54.2%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
52.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |