Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Dubinsky wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 56.3% vs Tavares 54.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.5%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 75.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 70.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Dubinsky
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Dubinsky
Tavares
Last 10: Dubinsky 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
6
Dubinsky
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dubinsky
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Dubinsky
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (627)
53.0% (1,201)
+6.5%
Power Play
23.5% (17)
61.5% (262)
-38.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
53.8% (65)
-5.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Dubinsky is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Dubinsky shoots left. Tavares is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Tavares
Home
58.0% (383)
57.5% (762)
Away
56.2% (365)
51.4% (766)
By Period
Dubinsky
Tavares
P1
58.3%
54.5%
P2
57.8%
53.2%
P3
55.8%
55.5%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
57.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2018 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 28, 2018 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 28, 2018 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 11:36 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 04:45 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |