Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 50.7% vs Staal 55.7% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 52.6%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 67.1%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 56.1%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Dubinsky
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Dubinsky
Staal
Last 9: Dubinsky 3-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Dubinsky
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
3
1
Dubinsky
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Dubinsky
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (648)
56.6% (769)
-6.0%
Power Play
51.6% (95)
60.2% (98)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (116)
27.8% (18)
+23.1%
On penalty kill, Dubinsky has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dubinsky is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Dubinsky shoots left. Staal is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Staal
Home
52.4% (414)
57.8% (510)
Away
49.2% (445)
54.4% (375)
By Period
Dubinsky
Staal
P1
52.8%
55.1%
P2
53.0%
56.8%
P3
47.7%
57.1%
OT
35.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
50.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |