Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 51.6% vs Staal 58.4% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Dubinsky leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 87.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Dubinsky
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
Dubinsky
Staal
Last 10: Dubinsky 8-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dubinsky
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
4
3
Dubinsky
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
9
2
Dubinsky
Staal
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (1,224)
59.1% (888)
-7.1%
Power Play
66.7% (63)
66.9% (121)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (201)
52.6% (156)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Dubinsky is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (902).
Dubinsky shoots left. Staal is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Staal
Home
55.1% (732)
61.2% (600)
Away
48.5% (756)
56.9% (566)
By Period
Dubinsky
Staal
P1
51.6%
57.5%
P2
51.6%
60.1%
P3
52.3%
59.1%
OT
43.8%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
51.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 18:17 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 00:07 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |