Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 50.7% vs Bailey 48.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 54.5%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 56.3%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 56.9%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Dubinsky
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dubinsky
Bailey
Last 6: Dubinsky 3-3 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
1
0
Dubinsky
Bailey
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
0
2
Dubinsky
Bailey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
2
1
Dubinsky
Bailey
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (648)
49.0% (51)
+1.6%
Power Play
51.6% (95)
30.0% (10)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (116)
40.0% (5)
+10.9%
On power play, Dubinsky has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Dubinsky is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Dubinsky shoots left. Bailey is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Bailey
Home
52.4% (414)
40.6% (32)
Away
49.2% (445)
50.0% (34)
By Period
Dubinsky
Bailey
P1
52.8%
50.0%
P2
53.0%
38.1%
P3
47.7%
52.2%
OT
35.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
50.8%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | OT | 00:14 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |