Brandon Dubinsky vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 19 meetings). Dubinsky wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 53.2% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 25-24 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 70.2%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 62.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Dubinsky
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
25
(49 meetings)
24
25
Dubinsky
MacKinnon
Last 10: Dubinsky 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
9
Dubinsky
MacKinnon
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
7
9
Dubinsky
MacKinnon
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
12
7
Dubinsky
MacKinnon
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (6,275)
46.1% (11,218)
+7.5%
Power Play
58.0% (821)
53.3% (1,412)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,245)
42.8% (502)
+5.1%
On even strength, Dubinsky has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Dubinsky is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,076).
Dubinsky shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
MacKinnon
Home
54.8% (4,265)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
51.5% (4,082)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Dubinsky
MacKinnon
P1
53.8%
47.4%
P2
54.3%
46.6%
P3
51.6%
46.1%
OT
51.6%
48.4%
Final 5 min
53.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
53.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |