Brandon Dubinsky vs Nathan MacKinnon
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dubinsky wins 60.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 54.3% vs MacKinnon 42.6% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 84.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 67.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 69.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Dubinsky
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dubinsky
MacKinnon
Last 6: Dubinsky 2-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Dubinsky
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
2
1
Dubinsky
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (784)
40.7% (953)
+13.8%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
51.4% (148)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (147)
36.4% (55)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Dubinsky has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Dubinsky is 60.3% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Dubinsky shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
MacKinnon
Home
55.1% (521)
42.1% (617)
Away
54.3% (431)
41.7% (540)
By Period
Dubinsky
MacKinnon
P1
58.5%
43.4%
P2
49.8%
40.9%
P3
55.8%
40.8%
OT
63.6%
55.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
54.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |