Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 51.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 61.6%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 65.8%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 50.3%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Dubinsky
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dubinsky
Stastny
Last 5: Dubinsky 2-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
1
0
Dubinsky
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Dubinsky
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dubinsky
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (234)
55.0% (1,136)
-0.7%
Power Play
52.8% (53)
57.5% (200)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (106)
53.1% (64)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Dubinsky is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Dubinsky shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Stastny
Home
52.2% (182)
58.5% (744)
Away
51.6% (213)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Dubinsky
Stastny
P1
48.1%
57.9%
P2
54.5%
54.9%
P3
51.9%
53.0%
OT
53.8%
72.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
51.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |