Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dubinsky wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 56.8% vs Stastny 52.1% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Dubinsky leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 84.5%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 62.6%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 84.5%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Dubinsky
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Dubinsky
Stastny
Last 10: Dubinsky 7-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
4
1
Dubinsky
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
4
3
Dubinsky
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
2
1
Dubinsky
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (310)
51.0% (588)
+7.1%
Power Play
63.6% (77)
60.6% (104)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (52)
51.7% (89)
+0.2%
On even strength, Dubinsky has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Dubinsky is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Dubinsky shoots left. Stastny is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Stastny
Home
56.9% (209)
54.0% (400)
Away
59.6% (230)
50.7% (381)
By Period
Dubinsky
Stastny
P1
62.2%
57.8%
P2
58.9%
52.5%
P3
53.5%
47.5%
OT
77.8%
41.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
58.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 05:58 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 18:42 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 11:55 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |