Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 52.7% vs Stastny 53.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 50.3%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 53.6%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 53.1%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Dubinsky
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Dubinsky
Stastny
Last 7: Dubinsky 0-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Dubinsky
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Dubinsky
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Dubinsky
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (831)
53.2% (995)
+1.0%
Power Play
54.3% (138)
57.6% (158)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (138)
61.4% (57)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Dubinsky is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Dubinsky shoots left. Stastny is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Stastny
Home
53.1% (608)
55.1% (586)
Away
52.7% (499)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Dubinsky
Stastny
P1
53.5%
54.7%
P2
54.4%
53.1%
P3
50.5%
54.2%
OT
64.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2014 | OT | 02:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |