Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 52.4% vs Kesler 58.0% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 75.1%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 78.9%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 74.6%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Dubinsky
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
Dubinsky
Kesler
Last 10: Dubinsky 1-9 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Dubinsky
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
7
Dubinsky
Kesler
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
4
Dubinsky
Kesler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (1,114)
58.6% (1,138)
-6.5%
Power Play
56.0% (166)
64.5% (186)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (204)
55.0% (351)
-2.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Dubinsky is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (556).
Dubinsky shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Kesler
Home
54.2% (779)
61.0% (859)
Away
50.8% (705)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Dubinsky
Kesler
P1
52.9%
59.1%
P2
56.1%
56.5%
P3
49.0%
60.5%
OT
53.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.3%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
52.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2016 | OT | 02:21 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 11, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |