Brandon Dubinsky vs Ryan O'Reilly
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.1% vs 56.9%). Look for Dubinsky on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Dubinsky wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 56.3% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 73.0%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 87.9%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 55.4%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Dubinsky
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Dubinsky
O'Reilly
Last 9: Dubinsky 8-1 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dubinsky
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
7
0
Dubinsky
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (627)
57.1% (1,367)
+2.4%
Power Play
23.5% (17)
59.4% (286)
-35.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
52.5% (257)
-4.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dubinsky is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Dubinsky shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
O'Reilly
Home
58.0% (383)
59.2% (936)
Away
56.2% (365)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Dubinsky
O'Reilly
P1
58.3%
57.3%
P2
57.8%
57.5%
P3
55.8%
55.0%
OT
25.0%
71.1%
Final 5 min
57.1%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
57.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |