Brandon Dubinsky vs Tim Connolly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 13 meetings). Dubinsky wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 53.2% vs Connolly 47.3% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Dubinsky leads 20-9 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 89.9%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 98.4%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 97.3%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 94.5%
94.5%
5.5%
Dubinsky
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
9
(29 meetings)
20
9
Dubinsky
Connolly
Last 10: Dubinsky 9-1 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
6
7
Dubinsky
Connolly
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
13
0
Dubinsky
Connolly
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
2
Dubinsky
Connolly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (6,275)
47.4% (1,307)
+6.2%
Power Play
58.0% (821)
50.2% (251)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,245)
41.9% (186)
+6.0%
On power play, Dubinsky has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Dubinsky is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,076).
Dubinsky shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Connolly
Home
54.8% (4,265)
48.5% (870)
Away
51.5% (4,082)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Dubinsky
Connolly
P1
53.8%
47.4%
P2
54.3%
47.7%
P3
51.6%
47.0%
OT
51.6%
37.8%
Final 5 min
53.5%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
53.2%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 07:43 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 11:00 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |