Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubinsky on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 51.5% vs Connolly 48.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 69.5%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 83.5%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 78.0%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Dubinsky
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Dubinsky
Connolly
Last 7: Dubinsky 6-1 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
1
0
Dubinsky
Connolly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
4
0
Dubinsky
Connolly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dubinsky
Connolly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (234)
47.8% (605)
+6.5%
Power Play
52.8% (53)
51.2% (86)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (106)
55.1% (89)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Dubinsky is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Dubinsky shoots left. Connolly is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Connolly
Home
52.2% (182)
51.1% (358)
Away
51.6% (213)
46.7% (428)
By Period
Dubinsky
Connolly
P1
48.1%
48.7%
P2
54.5%
48.1%
P3
51.9%
50.4%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
51.9%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 1 | 18:52 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |