Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 51.6% vs Bozak 56.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 18-8 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubinsky 64.8%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 83.1%
Neutral zone
Dubinsky 62.5%
Result
Brandon Dubinsky favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Dubinsky
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
18
(26 meetings)
8
18
Dubinsky
Bozak
Last 10: Dubinsky 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
9
Dubinsky
Bozak
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
5
Dubinsky
Bozak
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
4
Dubinsky
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (1,224)
56.5% (1,119)
-4.5%
Power Play
66.7% (63)
58.4% (226)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (201)
50.0% (20)
-4.7%
On power play, Dubinsky has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Dubinsky is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (586).
Dubinsky shoots left. Bozak is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Bozak
Home
55.1% (732)
60.1% (682)
Away
48.5% (756)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Dubinsky
Bozak
P1
51.6%
57.7%
P2
51.6%
53.7%
P3
52.3%
59.0%
OT
43.8%
55.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
51.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 22, 2017 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |