Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dubinsky wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 56.3% vs Bozak 53.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 91.4%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 66.3%
Neutral zone
Bozak 70.5%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 78.3%
21.7%
78.3%
Dubinsky
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dubinsky
Bozak
Last 6: Dubinsky 1-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Dubinsky
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubinsky
1
0
Dubinsky
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Dubinsky
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (627)
55.4% (719)
+4.1%
Power Play
23.5% (17)
45.1% (51)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
50.0% (60)
-1.9%
On power play, Bozak has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Dubinsky is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Dubinsky shoots left. Bozak is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Bozak
Home
58.0% (383)
55.5% (443)
Away
56.2% (365)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Dubinsky
Bozak
P1
58.3%
53.3%
P2
57.8%
54.7%
P3
55.8%
55.4%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
57.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |