Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McMillan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — McMillan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.5% vs McMillan 49.2% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMillan 88.7%
Defensive zone
Gordon 60.3%
Neutral zone
McMillan 63.8%
Result
Brandon McMillan favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Gordon
McMillan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gordon
McMillan
Last 7: Gordon 2-5 McMillan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMillan
0
2
Gordon
McMillan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
McMillan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMillan
1
3
Gordon
McMillan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
McMillan
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (576)
48.0% (25)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (194)
0.0% (1)
+54.1%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +54.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMillan shoots left. Gordon is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Gordon shoots right. McMillan is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Gordon
McMillan
Home
60.3% (383)
25.0% (4)
Away
54.4% (406)
50.0% (22)
By Period
Gordon
McMillan
P1
58.4%
36.4%
P2
56.9%
37.5%
P3
58.8%
71.4%
Final 5 min
58.5%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.3%
McMillan
46.0%▲
38.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2013 | 1 | 05:50 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 11:42 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Brandon McMillan |