Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McMillan wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMillan 41.7% vs Stoll 57.0% (-18.6%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McMillan 85.6%
Defensive zone
McMillan 85.9%
Neutral zone
McMillan 87.5%
Result
Brandon McMillan favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
McMillan
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
McMillan
Stoll
Last 10: McMillan 2-8 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
4
McMillan
Stoll
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
3
McMillan
Stoll
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McMillan
Stoll
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMillan
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (248)
56.6% (987)
-17.1%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
64.3% (126)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
26.3% (19)
58.1% (179)
-31.8%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. McMillan is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (75).
McMillan shoots left. Stoll is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
McMillan
Stoll
Home
36.3% (160)
58.6% (662)
Away
42.1% (133)
56.3% (648)
By Period
McMillan
Stoll
P1
40.7%
58.1%
P2
42.3%
56.4%
P3
34.5%
58.4%
OT
0.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMillan
46.0%▲
38.5%
38.9%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 01:05 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Brandon McMillan |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |