Brandon McMillan vs Joe Thornton
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. McMillan wins 37.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMillan 41.3% vs Thornton 54.3% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 78.2%
Defensive zone
Thornton 72.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 77.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 76.2%
23.8%
76.2%
McMillan
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McMillan
Thornton
Last 5: McMillan 3-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMillan
1
0
McMillan
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McMillan
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMillan
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (362)
53.5% (6,640)
-13.4%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
57.2% (1,387)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
56.7% (427)
-28.1%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. McMillan is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (292).
McMillan shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
McMillan
Thornton
Home
38.1% (210)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
40.4% (213)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
McMillan
Thornton
P1
39.2%
55.0%
P2
42.4%
53.3%
P3
37.1%
54.4%
OT
0.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
45.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMillan
46.0%▲
38.5%
39.2%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 05:44 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Brandon McMillan |