Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. McMillan wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMillan 41.7% vs Thornton 54.1% (-15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 77.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 68.2%
Neutral zone
Thornton 71.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
McMillan
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McMillan
Thornton
Last 5: McMillan 3-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMillan
1
0
McMillan
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McMillan
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMillan
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (248)
52.8% (922)
-13.3%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
56.1% (196)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
26.3% (19)
62.0% (100)
-35.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. McMillan is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (218).
McMillan shoots left. Thornton is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
McMillan
Thornton
Home
36.3% (160)
54.9% (597)
Away
42.1% (133)
54.0% (643)
By Period
McMillan
Thornton
P1
40.7%
53.0%
P2
42.3%
51.2%
P3
34.5%
57.8%
OT
0.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMillan
46.0%▲
38.5%
38.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 05:44 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Brandon McMillan |