Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McMillan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McMillan wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMillan 41.7% vs Stajan 51.4% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
McMillan leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stajan 72.9%
Defensive zone
Stajan 82.0%
Neutral zone
Stajan 80.9%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 79.5%
20.5%
79.5%
McMillan
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
McMillan
Stajan
Last 10: McMillan 6-4 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
2
McMillan
Stajan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMillan
4
1
McMillan
Stajan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMillan
3
2
McMillan
Stajan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMillan
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (248)
52.4% (731)
-12.9%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
45.8% (59)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
26.3% (19)
48.1% (52)
-21.8%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. McMillan is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (218).
McMillan shoots left. Stajan is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
McMillan
Stajan
Home
36.3% (160)
52.9% (427)
Away
42.1% (133)
50.2% (418)
By Period
McMillan
Stajan
P1
40.7%
49.6%
P2
42.3%
53.2%
P3
34.5%
51.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMillan
46.0%▲
38.5%
38.9%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Brandon McMillan |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Brandon McMillan |