Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McMillan wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMillan 43.7% vs Spaling 50.1% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMillan 59.2%
Defensive zone
Spaling 56.0%
Neutral zone
McMillan 55.5%
Result
Brandon McMillan favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
McMillan
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McMillan
Spaling
Last 5: McMillan 2-3 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
3
McMillan
Spaling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMillan
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
32.7% (55)
49.7% (756)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
55.0% (120)
-13.3%
On even strength, Spaling has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. McMillan is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (43).
McMillan shoots left. Spaling is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
McMillan
Spaling
Home
40.6% (32)
52.1% (476)
Away
28.6% (35)
47.8% (418)
By Period
McMillan
Spaling
P1
28.6%
50.4%
P2
40.0%
51.3%
P3
38.5%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
31.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMillan
46.0%▲
38.5%
34.3%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Brandon McMillan |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |