Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McMillan wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMillan 41.7% vs Stastny 53.0% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMillan 80.8%
Defensive zone
McMillan 81.7%
Neutral zone
McMillan 79.8%
Result
Brandon McMillan favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
McMillan
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
McMillan
Stastny
Last 5: McMillan 0-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
McMillan
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
McMillan
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMillan
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (248)
52.2% (1,107)
-12.7%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
61.0% (254)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
26.3% (19)
46.4% (138)
-20.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. McMillan is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (218).
McMillan shoots left. Stastny is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,059).
Home / Away
McMillan
Stastny
Home
36.3% (160)
52.5% (785)
Away
42.1% (133)
53.9% (739)
By Period
McMillan
Stastny
P1
40.7%
51.3%
P2
42.3%
55.2%
P3
34.5%
52.6%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMillan
46.0%▲
38.5%
38.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 12:54 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |