Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pirri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pirri wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pirri 48.7% vs Backes 50.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pirri 52.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 83.4%
Neutral zone
Backes 69.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Pirri
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pirri
Backes
Last 7: Pirri 5-2 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pirri
2
1
Pirri
Backes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pirri
Backes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pirri
2
0
Pirri
Backes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pirri
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (983)
51.1% (5,772)
-3.4%
Power Play
55.1% (147)
50.8% (1,082)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
47.4% (930)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Pirri is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Pirri shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Home / Away
Pirri
Backes
Home
51.3% (599)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
45.7% (536)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Pirri
Backes
P1
49.4%
50.1%
P2
46.4%
51.5%
P3
49.9%
50.8%
OT
77.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pirri
50.0%▼
55.0%
48.6%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Pirri |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 06:13 | Neutral | Brandon Pirri |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | David Backes |