Scouting Report
Brandon Pirri holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Pirri wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Roy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pirri 49.5% vs Roy 45.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 52.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 53.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.5%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Pirri
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pirri
Roy
Last 5: Pirri 2-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pirri
2
0
Pirri
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Pirri
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Pirri
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pirri
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
44.8% (784)
+5.5%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
45.0% (111)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
42.9% (14)
+7.1%
On power play, Roy has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Pirri is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Pirri shoots left. Roy is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Pirri
Roy
Home
51.1% (94)
45.8% (421)
Away
46.9% (81)
43.9% (488)
By Period
Pirri
Roy
P1
40.5%
44.9%
P2
47.6%
43.6%
P3
57.4%
46.4%
OT
75.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
38.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pirri
50.0%▼
55.0%
49.1%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 04:31 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |