Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pirri 48.7% vs Lehtera 50.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pirri 54.3%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 50.9%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 50.1%
Result
Brandon Pirri favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Pirri
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Pirri
Lehtera
Last 9: Pirri 4-5 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
2
Pirri
Lehtera
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pirri
Lehtera
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pirri
Lehtera
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pirri
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (983)
50.4% (2,714)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.1% (147)
55.8% (339)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
41.3% (104)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Pirri is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pirri shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Home / Away
Pirri
Lehtera
Home
51.3% (599)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
45.7% (536)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Pirri
Lehtera
P1
49.4%
53.2%
P2
46.4%
50.6%
P3
49.9%
48.1%
OT
77.8%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pirri
50.0%▼
55.0%
48.6%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Brandon Pirri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Brandon Pirri |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |