Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Pirri wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pirri 45.8% vs Stajan 48.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pirri 84.4%
Defensive zone
Stajan 59.3%
Neutral zone
Pirri 66.1%
Result
Brandon Pirri favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Pirri
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Pirri
Stajan
Last 9: Pirri 1-8 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
5
Pirri
Stajan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
3
Pirri
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pirri
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (413)
49.2% (886)
-6.1%
Power Play
63.4% (41)
37.1% (35)
+26.3%
On power play, Pirri has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Pirri is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Pirri shoots left. Stajan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Pirri
Stajan
Home
48.3% (230)
51.2% (572)
Away
41.5% (224)
44.7% (524)
By Period
Pirri
Stajan
P1
39.2%
48.4%
P2
48.6%
45.2%
P3
45.4%
50.8%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pirri
50.0%▼
55.0%
44.9%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Pirri |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |