Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pirri wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pirri 47.7% vs Johansen 52.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pirri 71.1%
Defensive zone
Pirri 59.8%
Neutral zone
Pirri 62.5%
Result
Brandon Pirri favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Pirri
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Pirri
Johansen
Last 6: Pirri 1-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pirri
1
0
Pirri
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Pirri
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Pirri
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pirri
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (114)
51.9% (1,006)
-10.7%
Power Play
67.9% (28)
56.0% (207)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.4% (33)
-42.4%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Pirri is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Pirri shoots left. Johansen is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Pirri
Johansen
Home
53.3% (75)
56.4% (633)
Away
38.2% (68)
48.1% (613)
By Period
Pirri
Johansen
P1
53.8%
51.4%
P2
38.8%
52.9%
P3
47.2%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
84.6%
Final 5 min
39.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pirri
50.0%▼
55.0%
46.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |