Scouting Report
Brandon Prust holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Prust 51.1% vs Kelly 49.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Prust 60.4%
Defensive zone
Prust 52.1%
Neutral zone
Prust 56.8%
Result
Brandon Prust favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Prust
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Prust
Kelly
Last 5: Prust 3-2 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
2
Prust
Kelly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Prust
2
0
Prust
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Prust
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (107)
50.0% (456)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
44.9% (118)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Prust has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Prust is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Prust shoots left. Kelly is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Prust
Kelly
Home
51.5% (68)
51.4% (350)
Away
52.6% (57)
45.0% (229)
By Period
Prust
Kelly
P1
52.9%
46.9%
P2
57.1%
53.6%
P3
43.8%
46.8%
Final 5 min
60.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Prust
52.0%▬
52.0%
52.0%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Brandon Prust |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 03:36 | Neutral | Brandon Prust |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Brandon Prust |