Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Prust 50.3% vs Carrick 51.9% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Prust 64.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 68.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Prust
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Prust
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (181)
51.9% (2,420)
-1.1%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
61.3% (75)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (49)
50.7% (408)
-3.8%
On power play, Prust has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Prust is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Prust shoots left. Carrick is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,090).
Home / Away
Prust
Carrick
Home
52.0% (127)
51.0% (1,377)
Away
48.6% (109)
52.9% (1,526)
By Period
Prust
Carrick
P1
48.6%
51.5%
P2
53.3%
52.0%
P3
48.6%
52.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Prust
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
55.5%
52.0%