Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Saad wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 42.8% vs Little 50.6% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Saad 89.2%
Defensive zone
Saad 77.1%
Neutral zone
Saad 78.6%
Result
Brandon Saad favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Saad
Little
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Saad
Little
Last 7: Saad 1-6 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Saad
Little
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
3
Saad
Little
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
0
2
Saad
Little
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Little
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (532)
50.9% (8,646)
-10.3%
Power Play
49.6% (113)
55.5% (1,593)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
43.5% (1,406)
-5.3%
On even strength, Little has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Saad is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Saad shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Home / Away
Saad
Little
Home
42.5% (367)
52.9% (5,664)
Away
41.0% (346)
48.6% (6,017)
By Period
Saad
Little
P1
41.7%
50.9%
P2
41.2%
49.6%
P3
43.1%
51.5%
OT
36.4%
49.1%
Final 5 min
38.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.8%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Bryan Little |