Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Saad wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 48.0% vs Little 55.6% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Saad 74.7%
Defensive zone
Saad 71.5%
Neutral zone
Saad 72.9%
Result
Brandon Saad favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Saad
Little
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Saad
Little
Last 5: Saad 1-4 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Saad
Little
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
1
Saad
Little
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
0
2
Saad
Little
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Little
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (91)
55.9% (1,026)
-10.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
60.1% (158)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
51.6% (122)
-4.0%
On even strength, Little has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Saad is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Saad shoots left. Little is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (850).
Home / Away
Saad
Little
Home
47.1% (51)
58.6% (613)
Away
45.7% (70)
53.8% (693)
By Period
Saad
Little
P1
43.9%
54.4%
P2
51.2%
57.5%
P3
43.2%
56.6%
Final 5 min
51.7%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
46.3%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Bryan Little |