Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Saad wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 42.8% vs Koivu 54.0% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Saad 79.7%
Defensive zone
Saad 55.0%
Neutral zone
Saad 73.2%
Result
Brandon Saad favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Saad
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Saad
Koivu
Last 10: Saad 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Saad
5
3
Saad
Koivu
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Saad
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
4
Saad
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (529)
54.0% (9,465)
-13.4%
Power Play
49.6% (113)
58.6% (2,100)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
48.9% (1,688)
-10.7%
On even strength, Koivu has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Saad is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Saad shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Saad
Koivu
Home
42.5% (367)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
41.1% (343)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Saad
Koivu
P1
41.9%
53.5%
P2
41.2%
54.6%
P3
43.1%
54.0%
OT
36.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
38.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
41.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Brandon Saad |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |